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Home Markets Forex

Eurozone flash Composite PMI ticks down to 52.4 in November vs. 52.5 estimates

November 21, 2025
in Forex
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Eurozone flash Composite PMI ticks down to 52.4 in November vs. 52.5 estimates
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Eurozone Composite PMI drops to 52.4 in November, misses out on quotes and October’s last reading of 52.5, according to the HCOB report.

The Production PMI falls listed below the neutral mark of 50.0, to 49.7. Economic experts anticipated the Production PMI to increase to 50.2 from 50.0 in October. The Solutions PMI increases somewhat greater to 53.1 vs. quotes and the previous reading of 53.0.

” For months the production sector of the eurozone has actually been marooned in a no-man’s land of directionlessness. Production has actually gotten somewhat because March of this year, however the total circumstance has actually not enhanced throughout this duration. Business continue to deal with weak need, which is shown in a small decrease in brand-new orders. In this environment, business have actually lowered their stocks of both intermediate products and ended up products much more dramatically than in the previous month, indicating that the stock cycle continues to reveal no indications of turning up. We are still a number of months, and potentially even a number of quarters, far from continual growth in the production sector,” Dr. Cyrus de la Rubia, Chief Economic Expert at HCOB, stated.

Market response

EUR/USD deals with offering pressure after the flash Eurozone HCOB PMI information release. The significant currency set returns a few of its early gains and drops to near 1.1535. Still, the set stays partially greater than Thursday’s closing rate.

Euro Rate Today

The table listed below programs the portion modification of Euro (EUR) versus noted significant currencies today. Euro was the greatest versus the United States Dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD -0.08% -0.13% -0.41% -0.08% -0.07% -0.20% -0.08%
EUR 0.08% -0.05% -0.33% 0.00% 0.01% -0.12% 0.00%
GBP 0.13% 0.05% -0.29% 0.05% 0.06% -0.09% 0.05%
JPY 0.41% 0.33% 0.29% 0.37% 0.36% 0.22% 0.35%
CAD 0.08% -0.00% -0.05% -0.37% 0.00% -0.14% -0.00%
AUD 0.07% -0.01% -0.06% -0.36% -0.00% -0.14% -0.01%
NZD 0.20% 0.12% 0.09% -0.22% 0.14% 0.14% 0.12%
CHF 0.08% -0.00% -0.05% -0.35% 0.00% 0.01% -0.12%

The heat map reveals portion modifications of significant currencies versus each other. The base currency is selected from the left column, while the quote currency is selected from the leading row. For instance, if you select the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the United States Dollar, the portion modification showed in package will represent EUR (base)/ USD (quote).


This area was released at 09:04 GMT after the release of the German HCOB PMI information for November

According to flash quotes, the German Composite PMI fell at a faster-than-expected speed to 52.1 in November, however stayed easily above the neutral mark of 50.0. Economic experts anticipated the Composite PMI to come in lower at 53.7 from 53.9 in October.

The total private-sector activity development was dragged down by a downturn in both production and the Solutions PMI.

Production PMI decreased at a remarkably quicker speed to 48.4, versus quotes of 49.8 and the previous release of 49.6. The Solutions PMI broadened at a moderate speed to 52.7.

” These figures are a significant obstacle for Germany. In the production sector, the heading PMI has actually fallen much deeper into contraction area and now indicates a downturn in this part of the economy. Although production is somewhat greater than in the previous month, brand-new orders have actually now decreased dramatically after broadly stabilising in October. A minimum of there is still development in the service sector, however hopes that the rate of growth would gain ground here have actually disappeared into thin air with the significant decrease in the index. In general, the German economy is hopping towards limited development at finest in the 4th quarter,” Dr. Cyrus de la Rubia, Chief Economic Expert at HCOB, stated.

Market response

EUR/USD turns somewhat unpredictable around 1.1550 after the German HCOB PMI information release.


This area was released at 06:49 GMT as a sneak peek of the German and Eurozone HCOB PMI information for November

HCOB German/ Eurozone flash PMIs Introduction

Germany and the Eurozone have the initial Getting Supervisors’ Index (PMI) information for November to be launched by S&P Global and Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) on Friday, later on this session at 08:30 and 09:00 GMT, respectively.

HCOB German Composite PMI is anticipated to inch lower to 53.7 in November, from 53.9 formerly. On The Other Hand, Production PMI might tick approximately 49.8 from 49.6, while Solutions PMI is anticipated to relieve to 53.9 from October’s 54.6.

HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI is anticipated to hold constant at 52.5 in November. On The Other Hand, Production PMI is prepared for to reach 50.2 from 50.0 formerly, while the Solutions PMI is anticipated to stay constant at 53.0 in November.

How could HCOB German/Eurozone flash PMIs impact EUR/USD?

The Euro (EUR) might keep its position if HCOB Production PMIs come as anticipated. Any rise in information might enhance the careful belief surrounding the near-term European Reserve bank’s (ECB) financial policy outlook. The ECB is commonly anticipated to keep rates the same through completion of 2026, with inflation hovering near its 2% target, steady financial development, and joblessness at record lows. Traders will move their focus towards the United States S&P Global PMI information later on in the North American session.

The EUR/USD set holds gains as the United States Dollar (USD) reduces after September tasks information increased expectations of a Fed rate cut in December. The CME FedWatch Tool recommends that monetary markets are now pricing in a 36% opportunity that the Fed will cut its benchmark over night interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) at its December conference, up from 30% possibility that market value a day earlier.

Technically, the EUR/USD set trades greater near 1.1540, targeting the instant barrier at the vital level of 1.1550, followed by the nine-day Exponential Moving Typical (EMA) at 1.1560. More upwards would support the set to evaluate the mental level of 1.1600, followed by the 50-day EMA at 1.1609 and a regular monthly high of 1.1655. On the drawback, the preliminary assistance lies at the mental level of 1.1400, followed by the three-month low of 1.1468, followed by the five-month low of 1.1391.

Economic Sign

HCOB Composite PMI

The Composite Getting Supervisors’ Index (PMI), launched on a regular monthly basis by S&P Global and Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB), is a leading indication assessing private-business activity in the Eurozone for both the production and services sectors. The information is originated from studies to senior executives. Each action is weighted according to the size of the business and its contribution to overall production or services output represented by the sub-sector to which that business belongs. Study reactions show the modification, if any, in the existing month compared to the previous month and can prepare for altering patterns in main information series such as Gdp (GDP), commercial production, work and inflation. The index differs in between 0 and 100, with levels of 50.0 signaling no modification over the previous month. A reading above 50 shows that the personal economy is normally broadening, a bullish indication for the Euro (EUR). On the other hand, a reading listed below 50 signals that activity is normally decreasing, which is viewed as bearish for EUR.


Learn More.

Last release:
Fri Nov 21, 2025 09:00 (Prel)

Frequency:
Month-to-month

Actual:
52.4

Agreement:
52.5

Previous:
52.5

Source:

S&P Global

Source: FXstreet.

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