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History Favors Messi, Miami Versus Nashville In MLS Cup Playoff Series

October 23, 2025
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History Favors Messi, Miami Versus Nashville In MLS Cup Playoff Series
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Lionel Messi of Inter Miami takes a selfie with a fan who stormed the pitch after the match versus Nashville SC at GEODIS Park on Saturday.

Getty Images

Lionel Messi and Inter Miami were disposed shockingly out of the 2024 MLS Cup Playoffs after losing their Round One, best-of-three series to Atlanta United.

As huge as that upset was– and some declared it was the most significant in the league’s history– it would fade in contrast to a loss to Nashville SC this year for one factor: Messi and Miami have actually definitely owned Nashville because the eight-time Ballon d’Or winner’s arrival in South Florida.

Here’s a better take a look at the one-sided numbers ahead of Friday night’s Video game 1.

The Group Outcomes

Remarkably, the series opener will currently be the ninth conference in all competitors and the very first in the MLS Cup Playoffs because Messi finished his relocation from Paris Saint-Germain throughout the summer season of 2023.

The previous 8 components consist of the 2023 Leagues Cup last, a home-and-away 2024 Concacaf Champions Cup series and 5 routine season conferences. And Miami has yet to lose any of them.


Miami vs. Nashville because Messi

Miami leads: 5W-3D-0L
Streak: Miami won last 5
Objective differential: Miami +9

Note: Consists of all competitors


In truth, the Herons’ 5-2 win at Nashville SC on Choice Day marked a 5th successive success in the groups’ series. And even 2 of the makes use of the roadway in Nashville before that winning streak were efficient Miami results. In the very first, Miami went on to win the 2023 Leagues Cup last on charges after connecting Nashville 1-1. A bit over a half-year later on, their 2-2 attract Leg 1 of their Concacaf round of 16 series was a strong structure for a comfy Leg 2 success.

Messi’s Person Magic

The supremacy gets back at more noticable when you scan Messi’s specific numbers versus the Coyotes.

With his hat technique on Saturday, Messi has actually now scored 10 times in his 7 looks versus Nashville. That’s 3 more objectives than his next-highest overall versus an MLS challenger (Atlanta United, New England Transformation).


Messi vs. Nashville SC

Appearances: 7
Objectives: 10
Objectives per 90 minutes: 1.53


Put another method, Messi is balancing 1.53 objectives every 90 minutes versus the Coyotes. That’s almost a half objective much better than his general average of 1.05 objectives per 90 minutes of MLS routine season play in 53 overall MLS looks.

Which performance history might be especially essential this season due to the fact that Miami’s fortunes have actually been more clearly connected to Messi’s scoring expertise than in 2023 or 2024. The Herons published a record of 15W-2D-1L when Messi scored in a league video game this season. When he didn’t, their record was 4W-6D-6L.

What About Nashville’s Stars?

For Nashville SC, simply as stressing as Messi’s respected record versus them will be the relative quiet of their own star duo, Sam Surridge and Hany Mukhtar, when betting Miami.

Surridge scored his team-best 24th objective in the loss to Miami on Choice Day. However that was just the 4th objective by the duo versus the Herons because Messi’s arrival. (Mukhtar likewise had 3 objectives versus the pre-Messi Herons.)

If the Coyotes desire any hope of managing the upset, they probably will require more versus Miami from a duo that has actually integrated for 40 league objectives this year, about 69% of Nashville’s overall.

Source: Forbes.

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